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Shelly Goodin 0
Projecting expected outcomes with decision trees

We’ve just published Decision Trees for Analytics Using SAS Enterprise Miner by Barry de Ville and Padraic Neville. Filled with many figures and examples, this comprehensive book has garnered strong early user reviews. We invited the authors to share a few words about their new book. Neville had this to

Rick Wicklin 0
Implement the truncated normal distribution in SAS

This article describes how to implement the truncated normal distribution in SAS. Although the implementation in this article uses the SAS/IML language, you can also implement the ideas and formulas by using the DATA step and PROC FCMP. For reference, I recommend the Wikipedia article on the truncated normal distribution.

Jan-Ole Romann 0
Open Government: Mehr Beteiligung für Bürger?

Die politische Steuerung hat einen ernsthaften Verlust an Zustimmung in der Bevölkerung zu verzeichnen: Die fortschreitende Abnahme der Wahlbeteiligung ist nur eine, wenngleich wohl die präsenteste, Auswirkung dieser Entwicklung. Zuweilen wird das schwindende Vertrauen von Bürgerinnen und Bürgern in die Politik mit einer grundsätzlichen Abnahme des allgemeinen politischen Interesses in

Mike Gilliland 0
Forecast Value Added Q&A (Part 7)

Mercifully, we have reached the final installment of Q&A from the June 20 Foresight-SAS webinar, "Forecast Value Added: A Reality Check on Forecasting Practices." As a reminder, a recording of the webinar is available for on-demand review, and the Foresight article (upon which the webinar was based) is available for free

Programming Tips
Chris Hemedinger 0
PROC DELETE: it's not dead yet

The DELETE procedure is probably the most well-known and most-used SAS procedure that isn't actually documented or officially supported. That is, that was the case before the release of SAS 9.4, when PROC DELETE returns with more features than ever -- including a production-quality status. In his SAS Global Forum

Mike Gilliland 0
How to find a job in business forecasting

If you are looking to find a job in business forecasting, or trying to fill one, there are many online resources available: Professional Organizations Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning - Very active searchable list of currently available jobs in forecasting and planning, from entry level to executive. Employers post

Mike Gilliland 0
Forecast Value Added Q&A (Part 6)

Q: ­Is the MAPE of the naive forecast the basis for understanding the forecastability of the behavior?  Or are there other more in depth ways to measure the forecastability of a behavior? MAPE of the naive forecast indicates the worst you should be able to forecast the behavior. You can

Mike Gilliland 0
Forecast Value Added Q&A (Part 5)

Q: ­Company always try to forecast 12 or 24m ahead. Whether we should track accuracy of 1m/3m/ 6m or x month forecast, does that depend on lead time?  How to determine out of these 12/24 months, which month should we track accuracy? Correct, forecast performance is usually evaluated against the

Mike Gilliland 0
Forecast Value Added Q&A (Part 4)

Q: ­What is a legitimate goal to expect from your FVA...5%, 10%? Q: ­How do we set Target FVA which Forecasters can drive towards?­ The appropriate goal is to do no worse than a naive model, that is FVA ≥ 0. Sometimes, especially over short periods of time, you may

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