As our elected officials debate the constitutionality of healthcare reform, the need for curbing spending on healthcare continues to increase. At last count, healthcare spending will account for 19.5% of our country’s gross domestic product by 2017. Whether you support the existing legislation or not, it’s clear that we need to approach healthcare spending differently.
That’s what baseball’s Oakland A’s did under general managers Sandy Aldersonand Billy Beane. The A’s looked at an existing problem – how to assemble a competitive team in a small market, meaning a low team salary, – in a different way. Michael Lewis chronicled Beane’s odyssey in his book Moneyball, which showed how the Oakland A’s contended with major market teams by challenging the status quo. Traditionally, teams scouted players based upon subjective measures of potential, such as size and projected ability. The A’s instead employed sabermetrics (advanced analytics) to identify under-valued players, based upon their ability to, for example, get on-base, which is more closely aligned with scoring runs than a player’s batting average. In fact, Beane realized that a walk was about as good as a hit. By using advanced analytics and an entirely new approach to filling the roster, the Oakland A’s delivered significant results at a fraction of the cost of other teams.
Let’s look at the numbers for the 2002 Oakland A’s:
· Lost three of their 2001 high-profile free agents who pursued larger salaries elsewhere
· Oakland A’s 2002 salary budget - $41 Million (NY Yankees $125 Million)
· Cost per win - $388 thousand (NY Yankees ~$1.2 Million/win)
· Season wins – 103 (tied with NY Yankees)
· Won the division
· Won 20 consecutive games (most for any American League team ever)

Chart of the MLB payrolls for the 2002 season related to MONEYBALL, 2 October 2011, Darrylleewood
The baseball world drastically changed after the publication of Moneyball. Every team now employs advanced statistics across a variety of non-traditional metrics for scouting and recruiting of players.
What does this all mean relative to healthcare?
The healthcare industry, as a whole, has just started to investigate the promise of advanced analytics. There are many who dismiss analytics in favor of the status quo: that medicine is an art and should not be beholden to data or analytics in treating patients; that sales and marketing within life science companies should be based upon field experience and intuition rather than investment allocation analysis; and that defining risk for prospective members in establishing costs of healthcare for payers is an impossible exercise without historical member data. These are only a few examples.
The healthcare industry traditionalists are opposed to change. It has been quoted elsewhere that physicians view evidence based medicine as “cook-book” medicine. The sales and marketing at life sciences companies has been driven for decades by a status quo mentality based upon field experiences and decile-based target with limited evolution.
Enter “healthcare advanced analytics”(HC2A). HC2A has the promise of bending the cost curve for both payers and providers by defining treatment pathways that deliver better overall results at a lower cost point, defining the risk of a previously uninsured patient population for an industry faced with reform, and redefining how life science companies approach their customers. A few examples:
· Supporting Providers in the development of standards based approaches to care that yields better results at a lower total cost of care than common treatment approaches. A number of examples cited here – bone marrrow transplant with high dose chemo for breast cancer patients(http://theincidentaleconomist.com/wordpress/the-rise-and-fall-of-bone-marrow-transplantation-for-breast-cancer-a-tragic-success-story/); antibiotics for ear infections (http://www.cnn.com/2010/HEALTH/11/16/antibiotics.ear.infections/index.html As a side note, our toddler daughter was given antibiotics for an ear infection and suffered a severe allergic reaction.) and prostate cancer screening(http://www.webmd.com/heart-disease/news/20110104/study-overuse-of-implanted-cardiac-defibrillators).
· Enabling Life Science companies to improve multi-channel marketing through investment allocation and channel mix optimization that delivers more sales than traditional approaches to targeting. Additionally, the incremental sales can be forecasted and quantified in advance of the campaign launch.
· Empowering Payers to define the relative risk and costs of previously uninsured prospect member populations for the purposes of designing and pricing health insurance plans in the post reform era.
This is no different than sabermetrics redefining baseball’s historic approach to scouting and valuing players at the lowest total cost to field the team.
Here’s an excerpt from Moneyball of Boston Red Sox’s owner John Henry trying to recruit Billy Beane to become the general manager of the Red Sox after the 2002 season:
“For forty-one million, you built a playoff team. You lost Damon, Giambi, Isringhausen, Pena and you won more games without them than you did with them. You won the exact same number of games that the Yankees won, but the Yankees spent one point four million per win and you paid two hundred and sixty thousand. I know you’ve taken it in the teeth out there, but the first guy through the wall. It always gets bloody, always.
It’s the threat of not just the way of doing business, but in their minds it’s threatening the game. But really what it’s threatening is their livelihoods, it’s threatening their jobs, it’s threatening the way that they do things. And every time that happens, whether it’s the government or a way of doing business or whatever it is, the people are holding the reins, have their hands on the switch. They go bat <expletive> crazy. I mean, anybody who’s not building a team right and rebuilding it using your model, they’re dinosaurs. They’ll be sitting on their <expletive> on the sofa in October, watching the Boston Red Sox win the World Series.”
(The Boston Red Sox won the World Series in 2004. The previous time they played in the World Series was in 1986 and they lost. The last time they won the World Series was 1918.)
So, you decide where you want to be next season… Leveraging HC2A to drive the investment of your company’s monies albeit with a new approach to the company’s commercial model or sitting on the sofa using the status quo of last year’s approach with everyone else.