In my first post, I discussed how analytics should play a major role in modern policing to help forces plan for the future and meet the requirements of the Force Management Statement. In my second post, I went on to discuss the importance of police data and data preparation to ensure police forces can make the most of analytics.
Here, I will talk about a police force that is following these principles and demonstrating what can be achieved with analytics.
Policing with data in Gloucestershire
Gloucestershire Police have used SAS Data Management tools to provide a strong data layer for several years, incorporating data from several sources across the force:
- Crime data.
- Incident data.
- Stop search data.
- HR data.
- Case data.
- File quality.
Building on this strong data layer, Gloucestershire Police created a set of interactive dashboards using SAS Visual Analytics to provide managers and supervisors with real-time, self-service data from across a range of business areas. And these dashboards have been a resounding success.
“In Gloucestershire," says the Assistant Chief Constable, "we recognise that data must be up to date, accurate and readily available to a range of supervisors with different requirements. The dashboards we produce meet this varied need, and we are beginning to see local managers putting the data to good use in problem solving to reduce crime and demand.”
“With deep insight into local crime from the SAS solutions, Gloucestershire Police can deploy resources where they are most needed to protect communities," says the Chief Performance Officer. "Thanks to SAS, we will be building more targeted, data-driven strategies to maximise our impact in the fight against crime, helping to keep the people of Gloucestershire safe.
"Our community support officers can put out more meaningful, targeted communications, lifting engagement levels with residents. What's more, because our efforts are focused on crime hot spots, we can deploy resources in a more cost-effective manner.”
Forecasting crime with predictive models
Gloucestershire Police realised that they needed to move beyond descriptive statistics to be more predictive and plan for future demand. So they are now developing predictive models across a wide range of policing disciplines that can help them achieve this.
Previously, I mentioned the importance of data scientists who understand both policing and modern analytical techniques, with the help of a partner. This is exactly what this force has done, and they now have a small team of analysts/data scientists who can use their extensive SAS data layer and newly acquired SAS forecasting skills to develop predictive models.
The first step in their forecasting project was to develop predictive crime models. Using insights from the recent paper Indicative Policing, Gloucestershire Police developed models to understand factors that affect crime. Then they began to use these models to plan for what is around the corner by understanding what drives crime trends and reacting to what is significant.
It is still early days for Gloucestershire Police, but they now have the data, tools and skills to fully explore the role of analytics in policing. They can be confident about their response to the Force Management Statement. They won’t stop there. Gloucestershire Police are already starting projects to develop predictive models for other areas of policing. They will also continue to modernise their technology by moving their analytics into the cloud and using the newest technologies developed in SAS Viya.It is still early days for Gloucestershire Police, but they now have the data, tools and skills to fully explore the role of analytics in policing. They can be confident about their response to the Force Management Statement. Click To Tweet
Find out more about how SAS has been working with Gloucestershire Police here (please note this predates the forecasting project).