About this blog
Michael Gilliland is a longtime business forecasting practitioner and currently Product Marketing Manager for SAS Forecasting. He initiated The Business Forecasting Deal to help expose the seamy underbelly of the forecasting practice, and to provide practical solutions to its most vexing problems.Subscribe to this blog
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Recent Posts
Business forecasting effectiveness at the APICS Triangle Chapter (February 12)
If you happen to be in Raleigh, NC next Tuesday evening, please come out for the APICS Triangle Chapter professional development meeting, 6:00-8:00 pm. While ... Read More
What good is being a "great place to work"?
Popularized rankings of "best places to work" (such as in 2012, SAS ranked #1 in the world in Great Places to Work®'s list of Multinational Workplaces) tend ... Read More
Larry Lapide receives Lifetime Achievement award from IBF
The Institute of Business Forecasting has named Larry Lapide, Research Affiliate at MIT, as recipient of its "Lifetime Achievement in Business Forecasting & Planning" award ... Read More
Research Fellowship at Lancaster Centre for Forecasting
The Lancaster Centre for Forecasting is led by two of my favorites in the forecasting world, Robert Fildes and Sven Crone. The Centre is home ... Read More
Simple methods and ensemble forecasting of elections
Two enduring principles of forecasting are that simple methods can work as well as fancy methods, and that combining (averaging) forecasts, also known as "ensemble ... Read More
The predictive power of nonsense
The 2012 US Presidential race comes to a close today (thankfully), and there is no shortage of wacky indicators predicting the winner: Iowa Electronic ... Read More
Guest Blogger: Len Tashman previews Fall 2012 issue of Foresight
Editor Len Tashman's Preview of Foresight The importance of trust in the dissemination of forecasts through an organization cannot be overstated. Lack of trust, ... Read More
New book: Supply Chain Forecasting Software
In 2011 I came across Shaun Snapp’s blog (scmfocus.com), and immediately took a liking. In particular, I was drawn to his independent and critical tone, ... Read More
SAS/IIF forecasting research grant deadline extended
Pam Stroud of the International Institute of Forecasters has just announced an extension of the deadline for SAS/IIF forecasting research grant proposals to October 26, ... Read More

How to make weather forecasting look good