About this blog
Michael Gilliland is a longtime business forecasting practitioner and currently Product Marketing Manager for SAS Forecasting. He initiated The Business Forecasting Deal to help expose the seamy underbelly of the forecasting practice, and to provide practical solutions to its most vexing problems.Subscribe to this blog
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Mike Gilliland
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Michael Gilliland, author of The Business Forecasting Deal (the book), is a longtime business forecasting practitioner and currently Product Marketing Manager for SAS Forecasting software. He initiated The Business Forecasting Deal (the blog) to help expose the seamy underbelly of the forecasting practice, and to provide practical solutions to its most vexing problems.
Recent Posts
Guest Blogger: Len Tashman previews Spring 2012 issue of Foresight
Pet lovers do the most incredible things. My friend Grace told me she trained her pet rabbit to walk on a leash. I said, "That's ... Read More
Are you an Analytic Superhero?
Have you seen this week's news item on "tanning mom" Patricia Krentcil, the New Jersey mother accused of sunburning her young daughter in a tanning booth? ... Read More
Incorporating demand planner knowledge
Can you explain the "random error" in your forecasts? This question was posed two weeks ago by Sam Iosevich, Managing Principal at Prognos, during his presentation ... Read More
The numbers behind burgers and fries
Last week's INFORMS Conference on Business Analytics and Operations Research drew over 700 attendees to Huntington Beach, CA. I had the pleasure of serving on ... Read More
Forecasting and analytics at Disney World
The April 2012 issue of ORMS Today contains a piece on "How analytics enhance the guest experience at Walt Disney World," by Pete Buczkowski and ... Read More
Ready - fire - aim
Are you a prefectionist when it comes to forecasting, or any kind of data analysis? If so, perhaps my SAS colleague Gary Cokins can cure ... Read More
New forecasting book by Jain & Malehorn
Being a Hollywood celebrity means plenty of perks in addition to willing groupies. For example, the 2012 Oscars Nominee Gift Bag (valued at over $62,000) included a ... Read More
Preview of INFORMS Conference
The INFORMS Conference on Business Analytics and Operations Research kicks off April 15 in Huntington Beach, CA. I had a chance to preview a presentation by ... Read More
Editorial comment: Forecast accuracy vs. effort
Let's end 2012-Q1 with a graphic editorial comment: Forecast Accuracy vs. Effort Using a naïve model will achieve a certain level of forecast accuracy. That accuracy may be ... Read More

Too much information for forecasting?