Sense and Adjust v Optimize and Innovate

Which is better – sense and adjust or optimize and innovate?

I believe it’s the latter.

I wasn't sure whether I should post this entry here, or under my "inspire" blog which explores the use of Business Analytics. It fits equally at home on both. To encourage you to visit that blog, I decided to cross post.

If you'd like to understand why I think it is better to optimize and innovate, click here to read the full story, and while you are there, check out other posts from myself and others talking about Business Analytics.

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6 stages of executing strategy

“However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results.” Winston Churchill.

As I highlighted in my last post, strategy begins as a hypothesis. It may sound very eloquent and logical, but you need to prove it works. But there’s more …

Dr’s Kaplan and Norton (of Balanced Scorecard fame) led attendees at Palladium’s EMEA summit through their “XPP - Execution Premium Process” – 6 stages of executing strategy. The work is based on research carried out at hundreds of organizations across the world, in all sectors. In this blog …

• I’ll introduce you to the 6 steps
• Share key insights
• Give you a discount code for subscribing to summit presentations captured on video
Stage 1: Develop strategy

Define your mission, values and vision . Remove any ambiguity as to what success will look like. The statement should quantify the vision, define a niche and provide a timeline. As an example, Nemours Health System’s vision statement is “By 2015, Nemours will be a leading health system for children, ranked in the top 5% of institutions for patient satisfaction, as well as health and quality outcomes”.

Perform a strategic analysis . In other words, calculate the “value gap” – the difference between your aspirations and your current reality. Then identify how and where you can close the gap. This is best done by creating strategic themes that will move you in the right direction.

Formulate your strategy. We are talking about a change agenda, one that starts with the gap in mind then decomposes the challenge into how you will improve your approach to customers, innovation and operations whilst factoring in culture, accountability, people and image to achieve your vision.

Stage 2: Translate strategy

It starts by creating a “strategy map”, a picture or blue print that shows how everything is connected in terms of delivering on the promise of the vision. The map communicates the strategic themes identified in the previous stage together with objectives, measures and initiatives. It typically contains 4 perspectives, each stacked horizontally on top of each other to show how value flows:

Learning & Growth” - Represents the human and information technology required to execute the strategy. They can be considered the “intangible assets” of the organization – difficult to put a value on, but an important foundation for success. Get this wrong and everything that comes next will deliver sub optimal results.

Process” - Represents the operational focus for running the organization. It can contain objectives associated with operational, customer, innovation, regulatory, social and risk management processes. How these are executed will determine efficiency.

Customer” - Your customer “value proposition” i.e., whether you will compete based on price, customer relationships, innovation, quality etc. With this knowledge, you will be able target and segment customers more effectively – reducing cost while simultaneously increasing revenue.

Financial” - Financial outcomes expected from the strategy. The measures here are considered “lagging indicators” – everything before them determines success or failure. There are 2 common themes derived from this perspective that permeate the rest: a focus on Productivity and a focus on Growth.

Once you have the “map” the final part of translation is linking budgets to strategy i.e., what funds will be required to deliver expected outcomes. In my experience, this is typically the weakest link in any organization. The budgeting process is arcane. It typically follows what was spent in the previous year + or – a set percentage. It’s open to gaming and provides little science into how an organization can optimize outcomes through the best balance of resources. Check out Leo Sadovy’s 101 on Cost and Profitability for more detail on how an organization can get closer to the truth.

Stage 3: Align the organization

Now that you have your map, the next challenge is to ensure that the entire organization is aligned – think of it as flying in formation – each division, department, team and individual supporting their colleagues … consistently.

Kaplan and Norton talk about this as making strategy everyone’s job – no matter where they are on the corporate hierarchy. Operationally, this means aligning personal goals with those of the company; aligning personal incentives; aligning skills and training to improve both efficiency and effectiveness. But more than anything else, it’s about creating strategic awareness through constant communication. A quick rule of thumb – for a message to be understood, it needs to be delivered at least 7 times, 7 ways.

Stage 4: Link to operations

At this stage the focus goes to improving key processes, identifying and managing key risks. Whether it be benchmarking, adopting quality assessments such as Baldrige, EFQM or others – all can be incorporated into your strategy.

The interesting one here is the focus on risk. There are all kinds of risk to be considered, from social, economic and political risk; governance and compliance … to operational and strategic risk. This is an area where SAS has a great deal of insight. It has traditionally come from understanding credit and market risk using sophisticated models to predict and quantify risk, but has expanded to operational risk – a focus on day to day risks (in any industry) and how an organization can implement risk mitigation strategies then prove their effectiveness. Dip in to our knowledge exchange for more information.

Stages 5 & 6: Monitor & learn, test and adapt

Saved the best for last. In my opinion, this should be considered right up front. If you don’t start out with this in mind, chances are you won’t have the right data to prove or disprove your strategy. It starts by ensuring employees have easy access to operational and strategic dashboards. Provide them the tools to monitor and learn continuously. The strategy map is the key. It allows employees to see how actions that happened up stream influenced a particular metric or objective … and how the actions they take could impact others downstream.

This blog started with a quote from Winston Churchill. Strategy is nothing but a hypothesis. If you don’t test it, you’ll never adapt. Strategy review sessions using the strategy map for discussion are an excellent first step. They help people articulate things that cannot be captured on the scorecard itself. But testing correlations between objectives using statistics can save you months, if not years of poor performance.

Another approach explored at the conference was to run “war games” or simulation exercises. Getting employees to consider how they would adapt to various market and competitive scenarios – before they happen so that they can learn and adapt approaches accordingly.

The parting thought in this stage goes back to understanding cost and profitability. If you don’t understand what drives cost, the decisions you make could make things ten times worse. As I see it there is a triangle between strategy, cost and risk with an understanding of your customer in the center. You need to understand all of them to avoid surprises – every step of the way.

More content … and that discount

This has been a long blog, but it really only scratches the surface. Each of the stages are explored in more detail by Drs Kaplan and Norton through video footage shot at the conference. But don’t take their word for it. Each stage was supported with ‘best in class’ case studies from organizations such as Volkswagen, Cisco, Metro de Madrid, Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Authority and TNT Express. You may not have been able to attend in person, but you now have an opportunity to watch and listen as often as you like.

As a sponsor of the conference, SAS is able to pass on a special discount. Check out the free introduction and judge for yourself. If you like it, subscribe to the sessions that interest you the most … and when you do, enter SAS in the discount code to receive 20% off.

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Reinventing business

Two stories caught my attention this morning – one from Reuters on a new web site designed to bring crowd sourcing to fashion, and the other from booz&co’s strategy+business magazine – an interview with Henry Mintzberg "Management by reflection”.

Both were radical and inspiring. Both turn general business assumptions on their head – a key for innovation.

• For the fashion world it was that you don’t need to rely on retailers to fund up and coming designers
• With Mintzberg, it was the value of MBA’s, and in particular, the way we learn

“Management by reflection” was a great title. It gets straight to the heart of the problem – not just the solution.

Think about your business. Why do you do things the way you do? Because they have always been done that way? Or because it’s simply the best, most efficient way of doing it? If the latter, when did you come to that conclusion – last week, or years ago? More importantly, what evidence or proof was used?
In my experience, the majority focus on maintaining the status quo. They don’t want to rock the boat, risk ruining their reputation or career. They may feel overworked and under empowered, so why highlight something that may cause more work? Or perhaps they are complacent – the company has always prospered so why change? To those I’d shout “look out the window!” the market has changed.

Most people intuitively know right from wrong. But many “assume” someone else, far smarter than themselves has researched options. In turn, whether they agree or not, they “reflect” the attitudes and approaches of others to conform. There will always be exceptions, mavericks and inspired leaders, but they will be the minority … and not always privy to what happens in the day to day business of getting things done.

Back in the early nineties, I came across the work of Tony Robbins. He says beliefs and attitudes are shaped by the environment around us. Through a series of experiments and experiences (growing up), we build “assumptions” that direct our actions. Most of the time, we can’t even explain why – we put it down to intuition. But what if those assumptions are wrong? What if they are blinding or constraining us? Tony would encourage you to challenge them on a regular basis - free yourself from the bad and introduce positive ones.

In Art Kleiner’s interview with Mintzberg, MBA professors challenged their role. Instead of lecturing, they leveraged the wisdom of crowds. Each student has on average, 15 years of managerial experience. Each brings real world challenges to the classroom and now collectively aims to solve them. Not from decades old text books, but from practical experience. The idea is they have a better chance of getting an answer for today’s problems.

Tor Dahl uses this principle to help organizations lift productivity. Thus far, following a structured path, he has accumulated over ten thousand years of experience and improved productivity for each of his clients by a minimum 300 percent – without them shedding a single job.

I can’t help thinking about Mintzbergs students and Tony’s philosophy. What experiences have enlightened or clouded their judgment? If there are 30, 60 or even 90 students – is that enough of a sample to remove the blinkers? Probably better than the traditional method, but is there another way? What if you could capture all those experiments and experiences and test them – analytically – in other words “prove it”.

You can. Tor has written a whole thesis on it. But let’s take strategy as an example. It starts life as a hypothesis. A hypothesis built on experience and assumptions. A 2008 Harvard Business School paper looked at how you could test strategy with multiple performance measures. They studied the use of a Balanced Scorecard in a company that pursued a flawed strategy for a number of years. Their conclusion “formal statistical tests of the hypotheses underlying the firm's balanced scorecard and strategy map reveal problems with the strategy on a timelier basis.” The lesson here is that you must challenge the status quo regularly – never assume that a method or strategy will always be best. SAS Strategy Management has recently been updated to make this process easier than ever before – check it out.

The bigger challenge is that you probably don’t have all the data, because you have never perhaps questioned what really drives value – you’ve relied on assumptions and data that are easy to get. Dig deeper, ask the questions, begin collecting and proving.

And so to the article on crowd sourcing and fashion – what’s the link? Answer: unstructured data. People are communicating faster than ever. They are sharing experiences and preferences via facebook, myspace, twitter, blogs and online forums – everyone is connected. Through their words, they influence others. Take a look at your own online forums. Your customers are probably providing great insights based on their experiences – good and bad. The challenge is there’s just too much of it. It would take forever to merely read, let alone recognize the connections and act on them.

Take heart. Tor conducts many interviews. He listens. He takes notes – reams of the stuff. But then he uses text mining to find patterns. Patterns that help explain instinct. Patterns that cut through the noise to zero in on root causes and linkages to that over than ten thousand years of experience he has collected. Our language shares far more than numbers alone. But today’s technology makes it a snap to decipher.

The world is changing. Business is reinventing itself. Are you ready to leverage the experience of others, or do you assume someone else has that under control? What’s your evidence?

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Innovation simplified

It’s as easy as one, two three right? … maybe.

Earlier this week I attended the first in a three part series hosted by The Economist – The Ideas Economy. The session was focused on “Innovation – fresh thinking for the ideas economy” held at the Haas School of Business, Berkeley, CA.

The conference was a mix of innovative ideas and best practices for innovation. Very inspiring and a credit to Vijay Vaitheeswaran the conference chair and global correspondent for The Economist.

Here are my top 3 observations:

1. Ideas are cheap

The real challenge is how to nurture an idea and bring it to life. There were many examples of how teams got into trouble, failed, lost respect and funding. The biggest risk in this scenario is the negative impact on the flow of good ideas and more importantly, the number of people prepared to run with an idea.

Without innovation, we become a “me too” and face competitive threats, so you need to keep that conveyor belt of ideas flowing – particularly when ideas are cheap and the economy is about to surge.
2. Innovation isn’t for everyone

Innovation is about taking an idea and making it work at scale. That takes considerable skill/ experience. Paul Saffo, a visiting scholar at Stanford University said this was an “elite” group - one not for the faint at heart. Innovation happens through experimentation, failures and “restarts”. Bound it in a predetermined plan or process and it isn’t about innovation - it’s about optimization.

Ed Catmull, President of Pixar talked about restarting Toy Story 2. Half way through the film they realized it would flop, so went back to the beginning and (pardon the pun) got their story back on track. He talked about the need for management to provide both the innovators and the vision 100% support.

In his view, management act as a mentors and facilitators – they are not typically as smart on the subject or as creative as the innovators and should never assume otherwise. Their role is to help the innovator reach the finish line – not pass judgment.

Ed had a great tip. When an innovator hits a block, get other innovators to help. Each person tries to rip the current work to shreds in order to unearth the root cause of the problem. This is done behind closed doors as a group of peers. No notes are taken – this isn’t a blame game. It’s done in a constructive way and is seen and received as a positive.

The idea is that innovators are too close to the subject to see their own errors – fresh eyes (from peers) bring perspective and get them back on track. Management facilitates the process, ensure people speak their minds and provide the innovator with plenty of TLC and support – particularly during tough times – after all, even the greatest can lose their way!

3. True innovators add personality to the project

If not, they are probably detached from the idea and won’t have the perseverance to make it a success. The reality is that innovators are going to face rejection – both within their own company and outside. The trademark of a great innovator is their ability to soldier on – even if they are told by superiors to stop.

I can’t remember whether it was Amy Edmondson a professor at Harvard Business School or Kris Halvorsen, the Chief Innovation Officer at Intuit that said your best innovators are those that come to work each day willing to be fired over their project. Regardless, both had great insights on this topic.

The discussion prompted an example from the audience. A guy at HP had an idea and was given room to execute against it. Midway, budgets and priorities came under attack and he was told to stop. He put up a good fight to defend it, but ultimately he was fighting with politics.

Robert Reich, a professor at Berkeley and an ex secretary of labor for Bill Clinton provided a great definition of “Politics”. He said “Poli” comes from the Latin for “many” and that “tics” are nothing but bloodsuckers – you don’t stand a chance!

Our innovator at HP pursued the project in his own time – he was personally committed to it. When the politics were right, he delivered the completed idea – it went on to be a best seller and he was given a “golden foot” award for perseverance.

Scott Berkun, author of “the myths of innovation” reminded us of the early days at Google. Larry Page and Sergey Brin had their page ranking ideas turned down by AltaVista and Yahoo! – the dominant search companies of the day. All of which tells us that innovators may not be the best communicators and the general public not smart enough to spot a great idea until it has been proven over and over again.

As Geoff Moore explained in my book “Radical action for radical times”, innovators tend to over engineer things. They are great at cracking a problem, but few others recognize or understand how or why they did it. At some point, they have to hand over to “deployers” – people that dumb down the brilliance and prepare the offer for scale. In turn, the “deployers” get too wrapped up in serving the customer to realize they are eating into margins and have to handover to “optimizers”. Throughout, the role of management is to ensure that the appropriate skills and resources are deployed at the right time.

Perhaps it is as easy as one, two, three after all:

• Create a never ending conveyor belt of ideas
• Protect and encourage the innovators
• Use the most appropriate resources throughout the innovation life cycle

What’s your experience?

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It's good to listen

On July 6th 2009 Dave Carroll posted a video to YouTube – United Breaks Guitars. Within a week it had been viewed 3 million times. When I met Dave last week, the figure had reached over 7.8m. His budget was a mere $150.

According to the Times of London, it was the tipping point that caused United’s share price to plunge 10% costing shareholders $180m.

Dave is a singer. He didn’t set out to destroy value. He’d reached the end of the line and got no satisfaction. He’s not a tech savvy marketer - he did what he does best – he wrote a great song, one that resonated with a lot of people. It had rhythm and a catchy message. The web made it easy to communicate – it’s cheap, instant and provides great reach. Serendipity took over – others spread the word and it went viral fast- very fast.

Dave has received over 15,000 emails from people with similar stories – examples of bad service from other organizations. People want to talk – but the web not only makes it easy, their comments and impressions can last forever - for all to view.
With that in mind, ask yourself:

• Do you know what people are saying about you in discussion forums, in tweets or social media?
• Do you know how many people are reading them?
• Do you know whether their perception of you is going up or down?
• Do you know how influential or connected they are?
• Do you know how much it is impacting your brand?

Worrying isn’t it? You may not believe you have time to search, but if you did, what would you do if you found something negative? My recommendation “Act fast!”

The good news is that technology can automate the discovery of relevant conversations. Text mining can summarize what’s being said. Sentiment analysis tells you whether the conversations are positive or not.

Social network analysis can even identify who is connected to who – no matter how hard they try to disguise it.

But it’s not all about damage control. The same technologies can be used to identify opportunities. Take this article from the BBC “Getting the message from social media”. An interesting look at how companies are using social media to reach out to customers – not to sell them, but to get closer. The article captures a theme we should all consider …

“Companies have to listen as much, if not more than, they used to talk. It’s about inviting, embracing and owning it (social media) and saying we are going to listen and be receptive. When companies fail to listen they can get a sharp lesson in customer relations.”

In the case of United a $180m lesson. But I digress. I want you to focus on the positive. Think for a moment. What else might you discover (putting complaints aside) if you listen?

Identification of hopes and aspirations; a clearer understanding of priorities; requests for help; product or service improvement suggestions; insight about competitors; a common “voice” or language used by customers/ prospects. The list goes on.

Now think about how much time and money your organization currently spends trying to answer those questions. If your answer is “very little”, how might it transform, adapt or improve if it could answer them?

My point is that there is a wealth of data you can mine to improve your business. It’s not just about identifying complaints; it’s about getting closer to your target market to create competitive differentiation. It’s good to listen.

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The courage to lead

Wednesday 11 November was an enlightening day. I learned how DOW chemical transformed a $1bn investment into $5bn, and I came to understand why 88 percent of people would switch brands to a company with a cause.

The common denominator was a focus on sustainable growth – increasing shareholder value while decreasing an organizations environmental footprint.

The insights came from AMRs Sustainability Exchange in Boston. There were over 150 attendees - people tasked with executing environmental initiatives within their organizations.

Dawn Vance of Nike talked about how they used a focus on the environment to innovate, integrate and mobilize efficiencies throughout their organization.

John Phillips of Pepsico talked about the need to change the physics of how you do business. As he put it, incremental change doesn’t help – you have to radically rethink how you do business. When you do that, as DOW chemical learned, you can make significant cost savings.

Think about it. We do many things purely because they have always been done that way. They’ve been handed down from one generation to the next. But who questions whether a process is still the most efficient? Who questions whether it still adds value?

Let’s take an example from Pepsico – rinsing bottles before filling them with Pepsi - a process that can use thousands of gallons a day. As many of you know, water is a scarce resource. Rather than work out how they could reduce water (incrementally), Pepsico decided to eliminate it completely. Such a radical challenge required a radical solution. And they got one – highly compressed, sterilized air. Now the bottles aren’t just clean, they are clinically clean - and not a single drop of water gets used.

This “radical” message was echoed at the World Resources Institute (WRI), Courage to Lead dinner held in New York that same night. I was lucky to be one of the 350 guests that came to honor Dan Doctoroff, President of Bloomberg and Chad Holliday, Chairman of DuPont.

Both were being recognized as leaders who are tackling today’s toughest environmental challenges. As earlier in the day, both talked about the need to radically rethink how business was conducted. When the chairman or CEO of an organization declares that they will aim to reduce emissions by 80 plus percent - people take notice. At the same time, it takes great courage. Many believe that being kind to the planet is an expensive luxury. How on earth can you justify increased spend – particularly during a recession?

But as I learned from Dan the following day as he addressed the WRI’s corporate consultative group (of which SAS is a member), recessions or negative events are the best time to take on such a quest.

Bloomberg, as you might expect, is a very analytical company. They study the data. They look for trends, but most importantly, they look for opportunity. Over the last year, Bloomberg increased its workforce by 10%. History has proven that we always recover. But during the depths of such recessions, radical ideas emerge - ideas that transform a market.

The question is simple – do you want to be a follower or a leader?

During the good times, following may be a wise move – you can learn from others mistakes. But as Carl Schramm noted in my book, recessions are where we make economies stronger coming out of the cycle. And when that uptick happens – it happens fast.

If you haven’t made the investments, if you aren’t “leading”, you may never catch up. Gabor George Burt would say this is a perfect “Blue Ocean Strategy” - these companies are pursuing a differentiated strategy (pursuing environmental issues) while reducing their cost to operate.

Dan believes we are on the cusp of a revolution that will transform business. Sustainability and a focus on the environment are at the center of that revolution. From the stories and conversations I heard this week, I believe him. If DOW chemical can save $5bn through a $1bn investment, watch out competitors!

But again, it takes great courage to lead. Bloomberg is investing heavily around the environment – internally and in educating investors on the benefits – not just for the planet, but for the profit potential. There’s no short term tangible ROI for the education piece – but if Dan is right, once the tipping point tips – the rewards will come and Bloomberg will have helped many others see the light. It takes courage to lead.

For more on SAS’ own experiences, check out our CSR report and evaluate how our software can help you identify, then prioritize your sustainability initiatives based on facts, not assumptions.

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Connecting the dots for success

Unable to attend the World Business Forum this week I read through stories posted on their Bloggers Hub.

Four speakers (via the bloggers writings) caught my attention: Gary Hamel, Bill George, Jeffrey Sachs and Bill Clinton. Each brings an interesting perspective on what it will take to move beyond business as we know it today.

I believe they are connected - each builds or contributes to the other. What I have done here is pick through the information shared and extracted ideas that may have been lost when presented by a single speaker. Paul Glader at the Wall Street Journal talked about Clinton striking a gloomy note. The facts may have been gloomy but Clinton hit upon an idea that makes sense to me.

He talked about implications for the future and how climate change would put inequality at another order of magnitude. Thinking about the current crisis, he connected that future state with a two for one solution – climate change as a job creator.

This created a connection with Jeffrey Sachs. I almost missed it reading WSJ’s Kelly Evans’ blog, but hidden in her video interview was a great insight. Skip through the barrage of stuff on macroeconomic policy and fast forward 2 minutes into the interview. Sachs believes we need to focus on micro economics – are we building power plants? Do we have a strategy on climate? Do we have money being spent on infrastructure?

According to Sachs, we can’t rely on pump priming the economy – we have to get onto the structural change in the economy.

Clinton remarked separately that “we can’t expect all these items can be handled by government alone". I totally agree, but if government incentivizes the move on climate change, business will do their part. They will create jobs, wealth and fingers crossed – a solution to climate change.

Why now?

Bob Preston’s blog “An evening with Bill George" answered that question. Reviewing George’s book “7 lessons for leading in crisis", Bob highlights lesson # 5: “Never waste a good crisis". He points out that resistance to change is lower during tough times than good. It presents an opportunity for transformational change.

Clinton and Sachs pointed to a path forward and George reminds us to get on with it – now.

Seth Kahan’s blog at Fast Company provided another insight from George “The root cause of this financial mess is leaders who practice short-termness."

Bringing us to the fundamental problem – we do a terrible job of thinking through the ripple of implications. If this last part has you intrigued, read the sample chapter from “Radical Action for Radical Times". By leveraging the wisdom of crowds, we can very quickly come up with options that are far more powerful than the “experts" alone.

Radical action …

I read 3 posts on Gary Hamel: The future always starts on the fringe; Time for Management 2.0; and Hamel promotes networked based management technology. The underlying message was that our capabilities have evolved to such an extent that our “management technology" needs to be re-invented. It needs to change as radically as it did in the early part of the last century.

As Hamel puts it “The next generation is going to demand a new style of management. For the 1st time you cannot create an organization fit for the future unless it is fit for human beings."

Which brings me full circle connecting the dots for success …

Our next generation has a vested interest in climate change. Technology and thinking can propel us beyond business as normal, only this time we have an opportunity to rally behind something important – the future wellbeing of our offspring – not next quarter’s profit.

No one can fix climate change on their own, but if we act together, government regulations or not – we can make a difference - today and in the future. As many have found, going “green" can be simple, it can save money and it can increase profits. SAS is committed to sustainable development, we have invested in LEED certified buildings, solar farms and a host of other "green" technologies. They are saving us money, creating jobs for others in the community and making a contribution towards a greener future.

It all comes down to values. Rally around positive values and the market will reward you – today and in the future. In this instance a win-win-win – people, profit, planet.

Don’t waste a good crisis!

Share your own views:

1. What caught your attention?
2. What's your organization doing to improve it's lot during this crisis?

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  • About this blog

    I’m Jonathan Hornby, a marketing director at SAS. This is my blog for discussing news stories and events that capture my attention and get me thinking about how they will influence tomorrow’s business strategies.
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